Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.568237 4.000143 4.468508 5.014912 5.635834 6.320610 7.134543
2024-10-06 3.081377 3.685790 4.389400 5.272158 6.354496 7.643851 9.304503
2024-10-13 2.656801 3.335358 4.168430 5.272941 6.708572 8.524521 11.016263
2024-10-20 2.333050 3.045124 3.957756 5.223533 6.949845 9.245228 12.567136
2024-10-27 1.996755 2.690086 3.610487 4.935338 6.815843 9.422918 13.369611
2024-11-03 1.825334 2.531934 3.500907 4.944695 7.072116 10.140033 14.987496
2024-11-10 1.718030 2.448257 3.480254 5.068353 7.492113 11.120104 17.091338
2024-11-17 1.601289 2.337696 3.406969 5.101082 7.770541 11.904828 18.970109
2024-11-24 1.499270 2.238143 3.338214 5.129055 8.036550 12.686311 20.920892
2024-12-01 1.408203 2.146290 3.271175 5.149578 8.286342 13.457567 22.932318
2024-12-08 1.296354 2.012510 3.126868 5.030417 8.290466 13.814188 24.251606
2024-12-15 1.217093 1.923737 3.045875 5.005982 8.447668 14.439832 26.116166
2024-12-22 1.140287 1.835064 2.961092 4.972727 8.595165 15.078749 28.116507
2024-12-29 1.118105 1.834828 3.022462 5.196897 9.222398 16.650282 32.117469
2025-01-05 1.056993 1.763898 2.957858 5.190835 9.425418 17.449897 34.680103
2025-01-12 0.994285 1.685395 2.873684 5.140764 9.538490 18.084460 36.977514
2025-01-19 0.900881 1.546575 2.672997 4.857265 9.173672 17.736963 37.130183
2025-01-26 0.859345 1.497281 2.629204 4.866388 9.384936 18.571092 39.978956
2025-02-02 0.836844 1.480696 2.643466 4.987871 9.832686 19.939152 44.216977
2025-02-09 0.803766 1.442235 2.614001 5.020024 10.097907 20.945326 47.746587
2025-02-16 0.772436 1.404864 2.583736 5.047507 10.354760 21.958337 51.430592
2025-02-23 0.742372 1.367862 2.551424 5.067671 10.596764 22.962027 55.230509
2025-03-02 0.698503 1.301454 2.457151 4.950593 10.524410 23.236548 57.201249